certainly is for everyone that may not have followed the rules and even for those like myself who entered so often on visa exempt eventually IO asks why come so often, hence I got the long term visa. Coming every month was ringing warning bells.
Immigration officer on the day may see you as a risk after 23 days overstay and refuse you entry. No one can be 100% what the officer on the day will decide.
Apply on line at Sydney consulate. The application form asks for flight details does not ask for proof you have booked those flights. I have done it with TR60 and
OA visa applications just looked up flights and dates and wrote them on the application form. They never questioned it