This is a good post. Within 5 years, I will be on one or the other. I have been weighing my options. Retirement seems less hassle, but it also seems to depend on where you are located.
He said that expected increases in National Health Service capacity and ongoing restrictions to people’s movements make him “reasonably confident” the health service can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in two or three weeks. UK deaths from the disease are now unlikely to exceed 20,000, he said, and could be much lower.
His initial statement was if they did nothing...
I DO agree with you on the fact that people in Thailand are leaving high density areas to go back to their home provinces (which is the exact opposite of restricting movement) is not helpful. But to ay that social distancing, and movement restriction is not necessary is incorrect.
, I think you are overlooking the fact that this is a "new" disease, and quite contagious. This was not realised in the early stages. Now that we know that it is quickly and easily spread, you can expect the numbers to rise quite dramatically. So, even if the mortality rate is say .1%, it will be .1% of a much higher number of people
So, a restriction of movement would help slow, and eventually stop the rampant spread. Small countries (Check some in the Carribean for example) are doing it. Canada is doing it in some provinces. The UK did not do it right away. Italy did not do it right away.
I noticed this on my last trip (ended a few days ago). I said my friend will need a key, but she isn't staying the night, but will be back in the morning. The hotel said "Let me take her ID. It will be easier for us." I didn't know what they meant. Now I do. Thanks.