FYI, just because there is a 75% chance of rain, doesn't mean that meteorologist suck if there is no rain, it just mean that the day felt into the 25% chance that it wont rain. OP was in a rain heavy situation, but the predictions changed last week when the law for people on Non-O became much more claimant. So the odds of rain/rejection dropped significantly, but obv not to 0%. Nothing is ever guaranteed either way, it's just predictions of risk assessment based on up-to-date info, which changes daily. In other word, "result oriented" is the main weapon of conspiracy theorist. "The friend of my friend of his friend of his friend-friend got X disease after getting Covid vaccine, therefore the vaccine will surely kill me too!". People assessment is very often emotionally based rather then looking at the bigger picture. We live in a world where people want only "yes" or "no" answer, but most situations are much more nuance then that.

The probability of getting denied entry in Suvarnabhumi Airport depend entirely on your visa history/situation. So unless your situation is exactly the same as OP, the odds are not the same. Some people have basically 0% chance of ever getting denied entry.

@Simon *********

OP was in a complicated visa situation. Each situation is different.

@Juls *****

I was not here yesterday so I don't know who said what. I've been giving him advice for weeks. The risk is still there but a lot less since last week new change. Also, there that thing called being "result oriented", for example, if there a 80% chance of rain, and it doesnt rain, doesnt mean the predictions were wrong, it just mean that day was part of the 20% chance of not rain.

@Steve ******

He explained his situations many times over the last few weeks. He was at risk of rejection, but the law changed for the positive last week for people on Non-O regarding Covid Extension so the same apply for trying to enter Thailand. He got lucky but it's good karma. He was cautious and I don't blame him for it.

@Juls *****

@Bruce ********

Started to ask questions weeks ago about his situation. I can only provide him up-to-date info based on when he ask his questions. Given his situation, he had a good chance to get rejected entry 2 weeks ago. But he entered this week... after the law changed, so he was no longer at high risk of getting denied. The new law allow people on Non-O to get Covid extension again, and that new level of tolerance toward people on long term visa also allow them to enter more freely in Suvarnabhumi Airport. This could change again next week... this is Thailand, authority flip-flop often. This is why when people ask when Thailand will re-open with no restrictions we can only estimate.

Yes, you are correct. A lot got rejected, but the law changed again last week, so it's even easy to get in from BKK now. Agent are back giving all sort of long term visa again.

@Juls *****

Which story? The fact is that the new law was adopted last week, and since then people can get their Covid Extension from Non-O or come back into Thailand from having a Non-O fairly easily. I don't know which story you are referring to?

@Juls *****

Last week the ban on Covid Extension for people on Non-O was reversed, it also greatly reduce the risk of getting denied entry in BKK. So yeah, in a way, people who came back since last week were lucky.

@Nadine *****

The application of the law changed again last week when Non-O Covid Extension became available again. So coming back into Thailand is getting easier again, although there is still risk.