Should I transfer $3,000 to Thailand now with the exchange rate at 35.48 or wait for a better rate?

Nov 4, 2023
a year ago
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
US to Thailand wise transfer. They're offering an exchange rate of 35.48.

I was going to transfer $3,000. I'm in no rush So I was wondering if I should wait for a better rate or should I just pull the trigger before it goes lower? Speculations and opinions appreciated!
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TLDR : Answer Summary
The discussion revolves around whether to transfer $3,000 to Thailand at the current exchange rate of 35.48 THB per USD. Several commenters share their insights, stating that trying to predict currency fluctuations is often futile. Some suggest that the THB could strengthen in the upcoming months due to high tourist season and other economic factors, while others advise that historically, rates above 35 are considered good. Many agree that for smaller sums like $3,000, the difference in exchange rate isn’t significant enough to warrant stress over timing.
Huy ******
This is a troll account, nothing to see here
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Huy *****
Um ok?
Jeff *******
Even if you were lucky enough to get 36 you would only be ahead ~$43.
Paul *******
Grab it quick before Donald returns
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Paul ******
returns to the courthouse?
Paul *******
@Jack ********
if he wins election no court
J.d. *******
Looks like it might go back up to over 36…. You can just google the exchange rate and you will get a chart that you can look at different time frames. The monthly chart will be the best indication of true direction. Then compare the rate to your transfer agent. Wise is probably the best rate.
John *******
35.56 on Wise
Save*****
Save*****
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Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Save*****
I don't know what this is but it looks nice
CT *******
1 Thai Baht is $.02 cents. Not a big difference if you convert now or later.
Micheal ********
It was 37 less than a month ago. Really depends on many factors, especially what the US fed is doing to deal with inflation and interest rates. This is not financial advice. We’re at a level of support (June 22,
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, 2009, 2006) at 35.4 where we’ll likely either see a bounce back to 36 or a drop to 34.9 then 34. If you look at these levels in the past, if it breaks here, not looking good. Honestly I wouldn’t get my hopes up for anything past 36 in the next few weeks. This is just technical analysis with simple ranges and trend lines and only a tool, but using these levels and $3000, not sure the difference is going to matter that much. However, there is significant downside if this level fails.
Albert ********
Good do it above 35
Ahmed *******
Usually the exchange rate goes up in the low seasons then goes down in the high season so it reached a peak of 37.xx this year now its going down while the high season is approaching with a lot of $$ coming to the country so i wouldnt expect much of a dump in the currency price to dollar in the next few months .. its ur choice though
Paul *******
Throw the dice.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
J ******************
If worried and have plenty time send small amounts rather than a lump sum ,the rates frequently defy logic
Bobby *********
I live here in Thailand for a few years you better do it now
Christopher *************
Grow balls and make a decision
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Christopher ************
sorry my balls haven't dropped yet.
Christopher *************
@Jack ********
then don't come to Thailand little boy
Christopher *************
@Jack ********
they will in Thailand
Norbert ***********
You can adjust it, to what for rate you want change you money,on your onlineaccount.
Steve **********
Going to get better.

Google: baht projections
Jeffrey *******
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Best viewed on a computer. Gives a forecast of the expected exchange rates. The forecast this afternoon is better than you can expect in the coming weeks. But many factors influence the exchange rate every moment of the day.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Jeffrey ******
thank you,!
Richard *********
It’s been higher and it has been lower.

I have unlimited free atm withdrawals so the atm works best for me. Beats Wise.
James ************
@Richard ********
schwab bank?
Richard *********
Edward ********
Wait every few days it does go up above 36
Albert *******
Check Remitly first .
Luc ************
Never change in the weekend. Wait until Tuesday..
James **********
Anything above 35 is above average
John *********
Weekly indicates a reversal was due considering how bullish it’s been.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@John ********
interesting, thank you
John *********
Daily USD index basket shows sell off on Friday so it looks weak and could continue at least for a few more days.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@John ********
Thank you, I appreciate your comment!
Klint ******
Analysts I listen to think the DXY may have peaked, at least in the near term. Speaking of Baht specifically, I tend to agree with the person who said it tends to appreciate towards high season, but that’s just anecdotal, and just based on my experience over the past couple of years.

Unless you need the baht immediately, I’m a fan of DCA’ing. Wise doesn’t have very high fixed fees, so there’s little advantage to do it in bulk.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Klint *****
I'm not familiar with DCA'ing but I'll look into it. Thank you very much for your comment
Jack *********
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-ways-to-forecast-exchange-rates.asp
John ********
@Jack ********
It appears you answered your own question
John *********
Nick *******
How old are you?
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Nick ******
I don't know, but I wish I could be the perfect age like you. I wish I could know all of your knowledge. I bet it's amazing to have all that knowledge. You must be a real amazing person
Nick *******
@Jack ********
yes if you want to ask stupid questions on here then expect to get stupid answers.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Nick ******
I wish I had your education. You must never have to ask any questions. You must never have to ask anyone's advice or speculation. You must be a man of all seasons
Nick *******
@Jack ********
yes i ask for advice on here sometimes. But questions like yours where ur not gonna get a realistic answer is just a waste of time
Nick *******
You Americans really are a strange breed.
Mike *********
I got 35 today. Thought that was pretty good
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Mike ********
I think it was 36.5 last week or the week before
Antonio ********
That is good
Lisa *****
Carlos *********
High season is here so the baht should only strengthen, and with the warmongering, the dollar probably will not strengthen with all the free flow cash going out
Ian *****
Come on be real. On 3k a variation to say 36 (less than 1% Forex variation) only means an extra 1200 then, and you take the risk THB strengthens. If you that worried send 1550 now and 1500 later
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Ian ****
okay my friend. I'll be real.
Klaus ***********
Exchange cash better rates by a lot than wise
Todd *********
@Klaus **********
said no knowledgeable person ever
Klaus ***********
@Todd ********
said the one compared it on the spot at the same minute.
Todd *********
@Klaus **********
happy to see your supporting evidence
Darryl **********
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Darryl *********
people make their living off speculation so I think it's a valid question

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Darryl **********
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Darryl *********
obviously not if I'm asking expats what they think... But I've gotten some great comments with valid information. Please go back to your beer
Darryl **********
@Jack ********
what a tosser you are
Keith ************
I used to wait until the middle of the month to transfer, as it seemed there was an uptick. But that pattern didn't last.
Nathan ******
35 is pretty good.
Ally ************
@Jon *********
A bit of a conundrum really.. since the fiat dollar is the currency of the NwO.. and it is their demise that kills the fiat.. the new rainbow dollar will be a strong currency though.. but you won't be able to spend your fiat once the transition is completed.. you'll only be able to exchange it in a U.S. bank.. and if you have tons stashed under the mattress you're gonna need to certify it's providence before they'll accept it.. in other words prove where it came from or risk losing it!
Paul *******
Historically the baht strengthens the more we get into high season. I’ve been buying recently ready for next month. Does seem a bit weaker but history says it will strengthen 10% by mid Jan. I’m hoping not and still holding off with some of my pot.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Paul ******
Thanks for the insider knowledge. I really appreciate it. I didn't factory in high season.
Todd *********
@Paul ******
show us ANY chart that indicates your strange perspective is accurate
Paul *******
@Todd ********
google pound to baht. Offers graphs over various timelines
Todd *********
@Paul ******
Im well aware. None of which support what you are saying. Have you ‘googled it’ yet?
Ally ************
Unless I'm moving a relatively big sum.. then a few bips on the fx (in either direction) isn't really going to change my life.. and the exchange rate my Uk bank gives me is also a lot closer to the commercial rate than most.. so i simply transfer funds as and when needed.. if you were buying property and moving a significant sum then that's a different ball game of course.. but anyone who doesnt understand the fiat dollar is indeed dead will soon be in for a nasty shock.. I'd be moving my cash into (physical) gold and silver until the storm passes.. i believe they are both undervalued at present and expect them to rise significantly.. the fiat dollar is no longer the world's reserve currency and will not recover until it is replaced by the USN.. not too long to wait by all accounts!
Todd *********
@Ally ***********
😂😂😂😂
Wally ************
Let’s say a +/- move of 3%.

$3000 * .03 = $90

Is $90 really necessary to think about?

Just transfer it and stop worrying if you can time the market.
George *************
@Wally ***********
Best answer I've seen to this question. It's always important to understand what difference it makes to the bottom line. Often, for relatively small amounts (e.g., $3,000), it's not worth fretting over the type of slight move one is likely to see week to week. No one knows whether it's going up or down. Historically, in recent times 35.48 is a good rate.
Todd *********
@Wally ***********
that’s not unfair. Although short term fluctuations can help or hurt… it’s the long trend that matters
Alex ********
Got to remember the tax year is coming to an end and next year the new rules come into play

Probably a lot of people moving money now
Phil ******
@Jack ********
look at futures and base your knowledge on this. The US are entering into a war soon slanting can happen
Jarek ************
@Phil *****
when is the last time the US wasn't in a war??? Lol
Robert ***********
@Jarek ***********
When Trump was president
John ********
Jarek ************
@Robert **********
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/09/donald-trump-is-dropping-bombs-at-unprecedented-levels/
John ********
@Jarek ***********
Guess you were happy with ISIS!
Jarek ************
@John *******
still waiting to see the weapons of mass destruction in Iraq 😂😂😂
Frank **********
@Ja***
I believe Sarin gas which is a nerve gas that was used on the Kurt's could be considered a weapon of mass destruction depending on how it is used. Also if it wasn't for the US and its allies putting pressure on the Soviet Union during the Cold War, Poland would probably still be goosestepping to Russian music. Lmao
Jarek ************
@Frank *********
weapons of mass destruction discovered 😂
Frank **********
@Jarek ***********
I don't understand why you made a laughing comment. It's true what I said.
Jarek ************
@Frank *********
cause you're giving the US way too much credit for things that would most likely have happened on their own. Also do not forget that a lot of the problems we are dealing with were caused by their initial involvement, eg they will go in, distabilizite the country, leave and then all types of shit will come out of it.
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Frank **********
@Jarek ***********
right we will invade but politics being what it is causes the politicians to say ok, we had enough. One of our biggest mistakes was to invade Iraq the 2d time.
Jarek ************
@John *******
maybe US shouldn't have supplied em with the weapons in the first place 😂😂😂
John ********
@Jarek ***********
You’re absolutely correct! Barry should have kept his nose out of it.
Phil ******
@Jarek ***********
very very true
Todd *********
@Phil *****
which war is the US entering?
Phil ******
@Todd ********
middle east
Todd *********
@Phil *****
ahhh. Riiiight
Durrant ********
Here's what to do piss or get off the pot
James ************
Also. The dollar is losing strength due to oil being traded in other currencies again for the first time in decades.
Jorge *******
@James ***********
long term, it is a major risk. However, the current volume of trade in other currencies is so small that barely makes ant difference. Are you a fx trader?. Makes me think you have an agenda to push people to exchange now...
James ************
@Jorge ******
I've never traded FX. I trade crypto and a little stocks. And pushing a small group like this for an agenda to make gains on forex trades is comical. It takes hundreds of billions to move it. I was just giving honest advice. I exchange what I need to make it. And when I see large spikes in the US dollar I exchange larger amounts.
Jorge *******
@James ***********
glad you caught my sarcasm. Best advice is exchange when you need it or when it reaches a minimum exchange rate you set. Timing fx fluctuations is like timing the market.
Kool *******
Typically the exchange rate is a little higher in the middle of the month rather than the beginning, or end of the month, when most payments and transfers are made.
Todd *********
@Kool ******
this is an extravagantly narrow vision perspective on currency exchange
Wylie *******
@Todd ********
not to mention completely inaccurate.
Todd *********
@Wylie ******
yup. Ridiculous
James ************
James ************
I am a trader, don't mess with much forex. But live here in Thailand and I do chart the dxy, and the usdthb chart. Right now it's in a strong downward trend, but possible reversal soon. The dollar lost strength wed when the fed decided to pause the interest rate again. I think a cut is slightly possible next month which would weaken it against the thb again.
Jorge *******
@James ***********
take into account the 10,000 bath giveaway program from the Thao government. This will negate the downward pressure and might even strengthen the usd to over 37 bath
Dean ***********
Last week I got 36.50. 2 weeks ago over 37.00. Depends on your urgency
Jonathan ************
I also think the THB will strengthen over the next few months.
John *********
Send
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now then other
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after this weekend over .
Charles **********
My guess is that THB will continue to strengthen, just like the ZAR has been doing over recent weeks. Go ahead and do it now.
Steve *******
Guessing exchange rate trends is like timing the market. Don’t bother.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Steve ******
Funny, people do it for a living though...
Will ************
@Jack ********
Yes but they are trading in hundreds of thousands $$ in a single trade.
Jon **********
Anything above 35 is good rate historically. Or if you prefer drainbow advice “man US dollar going to crash to almost zero soon due to new world order, it’s over for fiat currencies best invest in crypto buy a lambo”
Todd *********
Not much point waiting at this time. The baht strengthening
Oliver **********
It will definitely go up at some point.
Euan ********
@Oliver *********
and it'll definitely go down at some point as well.
Oliver **********
@Euan *******
yes and also stay approximately at this level
Michael *******
Got 36 the other day better pull the trigger. Hopefully it'll get better!
Brandon ************
If anyone knew this they would be rich playing Forex. It's rarely worth it trying to time exchange rates and I've given up. Sometimes I waited and it went down. Sometimes I waited and it went up. Now I just do the transfer when I need it and it equals out in the end.
Burnard ************
@Brandon ***********
If you are patient, the Dollar generally goes up against most currencies. Now is not the time to bet against the Baht though. They are still recovering from COVID despite the Thai Government Bureaucracy's best efforts to trip up the economy.

You can wait a long time if you bet against the Euro or Brit Pound vs USD though.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Brandon ***********
Funny since many people do get rich this way.
Brandon ************
@Jack ********
many become broke too
Burnard ************
@Brandon ***********
You need lots of dumb people or the smart people wouldn't make money.
Jack *********
ORIGINAL POSTER
@Brandon ***********
haha That's why I'm asking smarter people
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