If I had to guess,
I think one or two things may happen with Thailand. They ramp up the number of hotels so they can handle the influx and if it’s successful than that route may satisfy the demand. However I estimate they’ll need about 5000 hotels and now they’ve got about 50. The other option which may be a Standalone one or be coupled with the former, will be a requirement that people have been vaccinated as well as provide a copy of antibody testing, in which case, coupled with a negative test they may be able to skirt quarantine. If they allow the vaccination route, it’ll take a lot of pressure off of the ASQ/quarantine option, which could still be there for people who don’t want to get vaccinated.
Seems like a logical way to go, not 100% foolproof, but I think it keeps most people happy and will solve the tourism collapse problem faster
Of course nobody’s asking me. The brains making decisions would never listen to a farang.
TLDR : Answer Summary
The discussion revolves around two potential strategies Thailand might adopt to manage tourism during the COVID-19 pandemic. One proposes significantly increasing hotel capacity to accommodate travelers, estimating a need for around 5000 hotels compared to the current 50. The alternative suggests implementing vaccination requirements along with antibody testing to allow travelers to bypass the mandatory quarantine. Community comments express skepticism about the availability of vaccines, concerns over current quarantine policies, and the likelihood of long-term stay tourism becoming more prevalent due to restrictive travel conditions.